Archive for June 20th, 2007

No, I’m Sorry, Your Blog Isn’t Really That Popular – It’s Just Malaysiakini

June 20, 07

This is tomfoolery. As if in outraged response to claims in in this post that forums got me more hits than being featured on Malaysiakini, a M’Kini in Blogs list went and got me 416 views yesterday, and 92 already today. Partial list below:

1044Referrer

That gave me 1044 hits for my blog yesterday (and I was wondering when I’d break the 1000 a day mark).

1044Graph

                                          1044GraphSection

1044TopPosts

A similar thing happened before as I covered in my earlier post, albeit on a far lesser scale. Explained simply, when you mention Malaysiakini in your blog, they link to you. That’s all.

The following would have been on the front page of Malaysiakini’s site, until it got pushed off by more recent links:

1044Mkini

So you can write a post titled Malaysiakini under the category Malaysiakini and type nothing but variations of Malaysiakini MalaysuaKINI MALAYSIAkini and you will have your blog listed on… You guessed it, Malaysiakini.

Even for a post that serves no other purpose than to brag about your own blog.

It’s kinda like an arrangement where TV Channel-FAKE presenters agree to mention http://www.bluff.com at every opportunity, and in return http://www.bluff.com pages prominently display Channel-FAKE banners everywhere.

Malaysiakini’s link also got me on WordPress’ lists of Top Posts, Top Blogs and Growing Blogs, respectively.

1044TopPostList

1044TopBlogList

1044GrowingBlogList

Altogether a bit ridiculous for a basically pointless post, if you ask me.

And you know what? Betcha that when this post is featured on Malaysiakini, it’ll rack up even more hits than anything else I’ve posted before. Ah, whatever.

Shoplot Bases For Cops in JB

June 20, 07

A good move, but one hopes that the police residing within the shoplots will be persuaded to leave the comfort of their fortified base to patrol the streets or respond to emergency calls.

Btw, on the whole accusation of political motivation again… See Elizabeth Wong’s blog on what the protestors ‘political’ demands were. My own post on that is here.

————–

From The Star 20 June 2007:

Shoplot bases for cops in JB

JOHOR BARU: Policemen will be taking to rented shoplots here, especially in crime-prone areas. 

Johor MCA chief Datuk Seri Dr Chua Soi Lek said that 400 police personnel would also be deployed to the state within two to three months. 

“Eight temporary stations will start operations as soon as possible, with two in northern Johor Baru, five in eastern Johor Baru, and one more in the central region. 

“This will be carried out as soon as possible,” he said, adding that police would also increase their presence in certain hotspots in the city. 

Dr Chua said these were interim measures pending the completion of 11 new police stations in the Iskandar Development Region, and also three new district stations. 

Fruitful talks: Hussin Ismail (left) chatting with Johor Baru Tiong Hua Association president Lua Ah Seng (right) while Dr Chua looks on after the meeting at the state police headquarters in Johor Baru on Monday.

He was speaking to reporters after chairing a meeting between representatives from the Johor Baru Tiong Hua Association, Johor Baru Chinese Businessmen Association, Johor MCA assemblymen, Johor police chief Deputy Comm Datuk Hussin Ismail and senior police officers on Monday. 

The meeting was held after concerns from the Johor Baru Chinese community over a spate of violent crimes in the city, especially the robbery and gang rape of a 19-year-old girl by three suspects on June 11. 

Some quarters accused the police of late response and inaction, and on Sunday, some 200 people held an anti-crime demonstration in front of the Johor Mentri Besar’s residence. 

Dr Chua, who is also Health Minister, said he condemned the action of certain quarters that took advantage of security matters by holding demonstration. 

“We do not agree with those who did this to further their political agenda. 

“We offer our full support to the police and we understand the constraints faced by them while performing their duties,” he said.

Ratio of Johor Police to Potential Male Criminals

June 20, 07

          JohorPoliceRatio

In the news report I covered in this post, the BN representative for Pengkalan Rinting (Johor) Low Teh Hian said that the Johor police force’s quoted ratio of 1 cop to every 3000 Johoreans was ridiculous.

To quote: “Logically, after senior citizens, children and the disabled are excluded, police only have to monitor a few but there are still a lot of snatch theft cases.”

Mic asked if I could verify the statistics above. So I went and found some. Go to the United Nation Development Programme site to download the full PDF file (732 kb).

The year 2000 statistics for Johor showed that there were 2.59 million people residing in Johor. Of these, Bumiputera made up 57.1%, Chinese 35.4%, Indian 6.9% and Others 0.6%. Not relevant to my calculations, but for your viewing below anyway.

JohorPop2000

The next chart shows the employed and unemployed population of Johor by age, year 2000.

JohorAge2000

Now, the definition of ‘senior citizen’ usually follows the retirement age (56 in Malaysia), but what I think Mr. Low meant was that the police don’t need to consider old folk, kids and the disabled as potential criminals.

So going by my own logical definition, males younger than 15 or older than 49 are unlikely to be the prime suspects for serial killings, armed robberies and gang rapes. (Notice I’m assuming that in the society of our fallen world, even teenage boys can partake in vicious crimes.)

All females are also exempted – being an accomplice doesn’t count for this post.

Having discounted those demographics, that leaves roughly 792,360 males as potential violent criminals. Yes, I spent quite some time and effort measuring and calculating that number.

Now the statistics from that PDF file are quite dated, more than 7 years old. So I’m factoring in the time difference.

The population of Malaysia in 2000 was 23.27 million (according to Department of Statistics Malaysia), and it will be 24.82 million by July 2007 (according to the CIA World Factbook). That’s an increase of 6.661%.

Assuming that the Johorean male population increased by a similar percentage, that means as of July 2007 there are about 845,139 males between the ages 15-49. Now for the payoff for all these data mining calculations.

According to Wong Chun Wai’s article , the Johor police force is 3000 strong and recruiting 2000 more.

Now at 3000 police to 845,139 males who have the potential to be violent criminals (including yours truly), that is a ratio of 1 : 282. If you add in the new recruits, bolstering the police force to 5000 members, the ratio becomes 1 : 169.

          JohorPoliceRatio

Definitely nowhere near the ratio of 1 : 3000 as mocked by Mr. Low. But remember, a large number of the police force will be tied up issuing traffic summons, directing traffic and sorting out paperwork. And the police personnel have shifts, further reducing the man-hours available to continuously watch the streets.

Now let’s instead assume that the police watch over the safety of innocent civilians, rather than keep an eye on potential crooks. Assume also that all kids below 15 and senior citizens above 49 stay at home, and assume a roughly 1 to 1 ratio between males and females.

If the Johor police were to keep a protective watch over these out-and-about people, that would still be a ratio of 1 : 564 (or 1 : 338 when the 2000 new recurits are factored in).

The criminals, however, seem fond of breaking and entering, thus nullifying the safety advantage of staying indoors.

Therefore, if the police keep watch on just the males who have the potential to rob, rape and murder, it would be a lot easier on them than to take care of every innconet citizen. Easy to say, not easy to do at all!

So what I suggest is frequent, randomly moving patrols at night – a simple measure that makes it much more likely potential criminals will be caught in the act and have to abandon their nefarious plans halfway.

Hope I’ve been helpful.


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